Posted on: 20-02-14 10:43:59
Finally Anna made up his mind to support the political party and picked TMC – Mamta Banerjee. It is like adding a new flavor to the recipe of spicy Indian politics. Will it be going to impact the political scenario and upcoming general election and if so, to what extent and to whom – a big question.
For Congress, the upcoming general elections are like last rituals so they should not worry. It doesn’t matter to a dead person if someone beats him further. Their best attempt is to cross the two digit figure so whether they collapse at 70 or at 80 – doesn’t matter too much.
For BJP, the impact will be a little bit. Basically I don’t think BJP and TMC have any intersecting area of influence. There may be little influence of Anna in Maharashtra and a little bit impact in Eastern states so in total, the impact should not be humongous.
Political pundits are not giving much weightage to AAP – they are predicting 10 to 30 seats in total (unless voters do some miracle as they did in Delhi election). AAP has limited influence in HP, Haryana, Punjab, UP, Delhi, MP & Rajasthan and TMC has minimal presence in these states. Besides this factor, AAP has different strategy – they are putting up their candidates against the tainted candidates of other parties. It will force other parties to come up with clean candidates and the tainted one will search for safer constituencies. I don’t think there will be any major clash between TMC and AAP.
I have no idea about the central and southern states so other CD’s can throw some light.
This combination of Mamta and Anna will be interesting and it will provide passage to VK Singh and Kiran Bedi to openly come in support of BJP. They may also contest from BJP. Thereafter, they will be subjected to the microscopic political scrutiny. Now Anna will also be able to check the depth of his political water.
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A Delhite in Toronto
Quote:
Originally posted by Delhite
For Congress, the upcoming general elections are like last rituals so they should not worry. It doesn’t matter to a dead person if someone beats him further. Their best attempt is to cross the two digit figure so whether they collapse at 70 or at 80 – doesn’t matter too much.
Better not to under-estimate Congress' ability to "work" when they are out of power. Post Emergency, the then Janata in 1977 commited the mstake and we saw Indira Gandhi back as PM. India is safe only when they do not have a single MP in the parliament.
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Quote:
Originally posted by Delhite
Finally Anna made up his mind to support the political party and picked TMC – Mamta Banerjee. It is like adding a new flavor to the recipe of spicy Indian politics. Will it be going to impact the political scenario and upcoming general election and if so, to what extent and to whom – a big question.
For Congress, the upcoming general elections are like last rituals so they should not worry. It doesn’t matter to a dead person if someone beats him further. Their best attempt is to cross the two digit figure so whether they collapse at 70 or at 80 – doesn’t matter too much.
For BJP, the impact will be a little bit. Basically I don’t think BJP and TMC have any intersecting area of influence. There may be little influence of Anna in Maharashtra and a little bit impact in Eastern states so in total, the impact should not be humongous.
Political pundits are not giving much weightage to AAP – they are predicting 10 to 30 seats in total (unless voters do some miracle as they did in Delhi election). AAP has limited influence in HP, Haryana, Punjab, UP, Delhi, MP & Rajasthan and TMC has minimal presence in these states. Besides this factor, AAP has different strategy – they are putting up their candidates against the tainted candidates of other parties. It will force other parties to come up with clean candidates and the tainted one will search for safer constituencies. I don’t think there will be any major clash between TMC and AAP.
I have no idea about the central and southern states so other CD’s can throw some light.
This combination of Mamta and Anna will be interesting and it will provide passage to VK Singh and Kiran Bedi to openly come in support of BJP. They may also contest from BJP. Thereafter, they will be subjected to the microscopic political scrutiny. Now Anna will also be able to check the depth of his political water.
A thought provoking post !!
Anna seemed like has changed his stance on supporting any political party. I think he still does not but he is impressed with Mamta. Overall AAP is seemingly struggling to put much of impact in these elections in many of the states. Very less time to put an impact but failure of BJP's 'India shining' compaign and congress winning was an eye opener a decade ago. BJP is again playing the development card under Modi (will that be a mistake second time ? ), where as Congress is busy focusing on voter section which matters (all ABCs and muslims). AAP may snatch some of them this time and BJP may gain in this monkey play but will have to look for support to make a govt.. After all this time urban voter & youth has woken up and will vote. So we are looking towards highly divided but well informed voting.
Didi in her interview to CNN-IBN, gave about 120 seats to BJP, another 65 to Congress and said that her "Federal Front" will come to power.
One common feature between interviews given by Didi and Lalu to English News Channels is that in both cases the "westernized and english bred" interviewers seem to look down upon the interviewees (both Mamta and Lalu). A sarcastic smile on their lips, interrupting as and when they like. Both Mamta and Lalu knew this but stuck to their simplicity and "Indianness" even though they can speak and understand English reasonably well.
The same interviewers when they speak to "sophisticated, convent or foreign educated" leaders like Chidambaram or Jayalalitha, will be all ears when the leaders answer. They dare not interrupt.
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Is Anna losing his sanity? Supporting Didi? For what? What has she done? The farmers still are struggling to ends meet when she kicked out Tatas. Now it is in court, Didi washed off her hands.
The third front leaders met today in Delhi. Let's not underestimate the power of JJ (amma). She has something up her sleeves. But Mulla Yadav also wants to be PM apart from Didi, JJ and others. If NDA cant get the majority, that will be interesting to see who would be the PM from third front.
Very unlikely that Mamta will become PM, for it is the corporates who decide who becomes PM and more importantly Finance Minister.
Mamta is someone who doesn't even serve tea if some journalists visit her. If the media has to say nice say nice things about her, she has to conduct press conferences, where champagne freely flows and disburse envelopes at the end of the meet. All these Didi may never do.
Recently Mahatma's grandson joined AAP. Since he is Mahatma's grandson unlikely that he conducted such media conference to announce his entry. Therefore, one is not sure whether he is RAJ Mohan Gandhi or RAM Mohan Gandhi, more likely RAM, since he can never become Raj and has to remain chanting RAM for the rest of his life.
Mamta also does not entertain the corporates, who will also help in her image building if she wants to become PM. If only she was kind to them, she can be in power for at least 10 years. The corporates will instruct the media never to write or say anything bad about her and the media will strictly follow the corporates instructions.
One shining example is that of Chidambaram. For the last 10 years he has been following anti people, pro corporate, pro super rich policies. He is not even bothered if he loses deposit in his constituency. The whole of UPA has such a bad public image. But still he is one leader, who has got a fantastic media coverage and not a dot on his minister white attire.
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