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Originally posted by san-hugo

PUNJAB


Polling firm/Link Date SAD-BJP INC AAP
India Today-Axis Jan 2017 18-22 (20) 56-62 (59) 36-41 (38)
Lokniti-ABP-CSDS Jan 2017 50-58 (55) 41-49 (46) 12-18 (16)
Axis - India Today Oct 2016 17-21 (19) 49-55 (54) 42-46 (44)


LoL , the Opinion polls agencies are all over the place in Punjab Its Either BJP/SAD winning or Congress. Seems like it is their own 'Opinion' than the people of Punjab.

Onground reading is - Its AAP all the way though off late Congress has started to impress some part of Punjab. This is good contest but BJP/SAD is sure to Lose here.

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A Proud Indian Canadian

Quote:

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Originally posted by Garvo Gujarati

Quote:

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Originally posted by san-hugo

PUNJAB


Polling firm/Link Date SAD-BJP INC AAP
India Today-Axis Jan 2017 18-22 (20) 56-62 (59) 36-41 (38)
Lokniti-ABP-CSDS Jan 2017 50-58 (55) 41-49 (46) 12-18 (16)
Axis - India Today Oct 2016 17-21 (19) 49-55 (54) 42-46 (44)


LoL , the Opinion polls agencies are all over the place in Punjab Its Either BJP/SAD winning or Congress. Seems like it is their own 'Opinion' than the people of Punjab.

Onground reading is - Its AAP all the way though off late Congress has started to impress some part of Punjab. This is good contest but BJP/SAD is sure to Lose here.

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In your opinion why SAD/BJP is losing? 10 Years of Anti-Incumbency?

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Latest on-ground reports says AAP will get majority of seats in Punjab. There is a AAP Lehar in the area (malwa) where 69 of 117 seats are, congress is also doing well in certain pockets and BJP akalis are set to lose power.

Goa, is still anybody's guess. It will be game changing event for BJP and Indian politics if she loses command to AAP in Goa.

UP is still heading towards hung assembly , dynamics yet to be seen out of congi-sp coalition.

It is sad sad thing that Modi govt performance in center is letting deadpool congress come back in some areas. I personally blame weak and disintegrated opposition parties were the reason congresss could rule for 70 years. Evident from recent events. They are doing it again. BJP never learns from her mistakes, continued arrogance, sheltering corrupt and denial on non performance will land us no where. No more news on catching people with new currency notes ! Was that deflecting tactics!. RBI not responding to RTI requests on statistics of collections. is Demonitisation saga over ?

While most of us want Modi to stay in power for at-least 10 years to stablise the growth in India, seems like we are set to see pappu as PM sooner than later.

Most of the opinion polls suggests different numbers for each party. Not sure who is going to Win this.

I have a hypothetical situation.

Let's assume Congress gets between 40 to 50 seats, AAP gets 20-30 seats, SAD-BJP gets 20-30 seats.

Or another scenario to make AAP feel happy. AAP gets 40-50, Congress 20-30 and SAD-BJP 20-30.

Will Arvind form government with the help of Congress? A very likely scenario, as he has shown number of times being opportunist. For all parties opposing BJP, have a convenient tool called "Secularism" to get united against BJP, and it really doesn't matter that Congress is mothership of corruption for Arvind.

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A Proud Indian Canadian

I have a feeling that SAD-BJP will come back in Punjab despite their past un performance.

UP - well that's a different story.... Akhilesh Yadav might lead the share , though not sure about majority. Who is the CM candidate from BJP ??

With Bihar lost, what would be BJP's future if it loses UP as well ?

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Fido.

The Opinion Polls should also disclose their previous poll accuracy. I will set some responsibility on their shoulders too.

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A Delhite in Toronto

Opinion Polls go to the favor of those that pay them the most and are the sponsors. I know it's an oft-repeated and despised opinion, but it's true to some extent. For instance, you can never ever have IndiaTV/ZeeTV conduct a poll that shows non-BJP parties topping the charts. Same's true for other Media mediums that favor one party over the other.

Besides, the last few times Polls have known to be not credible and to the mark. Electorate could change their minds at the last minute, and keep flip-flopping until the d-day.

Let's see how tide turns. These are my projections:

Punjab: AAP+Congress with a complete BJP+Akali obliteration for good. Possibility of AAP and Congress merger as GG mentioned, though I don't want to see that and would immensely love AAP to top the Elections and form Govt.
UP: Akhilesh + Congress. Again, BJP will take a setback for they haven't learnt their lessons still.
Goa: BJP, with AAP cometh Second and open their well deserved account.
Manipur: Not really sure
UK: What?

Overall, it would be a huge blow to BJP. Time is ripe for them to revisit their policies overall - mere Jumlas, Mandir, Cow, and Kulcha can't run the Govt.